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DVD Video Steaming into Roster of
Hot
Holiday Products
DVD,
the fastest growing consumer electronics technology in history, has
created a dynamic product pyramid and unprecedented opportunities for
retailers this holiday season.
Resellers
who look at product sales charts and analyst projections when
planning their holiday strategy will see video emerging as the
"killer app" in the DVD pyramid. The pyramid has expanded
quickly from DVD players to digital cameras and camcorders.
In the pyramid, every product increases demand for the others. Sales of DVD players have steadily increased since 1997. This year, DVD player sales are projected to surpass sales of VCRs and the worldwide installed base of DVD players will reach nearly 200 million units.
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|
US VCR and DVD Player Sales (Millions of Units) |
|||||||
|
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 (proj) |
||
|
VCRs |
16 |
17 |
22 |
22.5 |
15 |
14.5 |
|
|
|
DVD players |
0.5 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
16 |
|
|
The installed base of camcorders (especially DV camcorders) has grown steadily since 1997
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|
US Camcorder Installed Base (Millions) |
|||||
|
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
|
|
Analog |
13.9 |
17.7 |
21.3 |
24.7 |
28.2 |
|
|
DV |
0 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
|
|
TOTAL |
13.9 |
17.9 |
22.7 |
28.4 |
33.6 |
|
With digital camcorders now available for $275, prices have dropped to the point where sales of digital cameras took off. Camcorders, which are expected to reach a household penetration of nearly 40 percent this year, are driving the market for PC video editing and authoring software.
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|
US Consumer Video Editing Sales (Millions) |
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|
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
|
|
|
$14.5 |
$46 |
$60 |
|
|
Sales
of video editing solutions are rising because today's digital savvy
consumers realize that just plugging the camcorder into the back of a
TV and watching unedited video loses its appeal after a while.
The
basic software that comes with today's digital capture devices
generally does little more than let the user capture their photos and
video. As a result, all of the people who buy (or have recently
bought) a digital camera or camcorder are prime candidates for video
editing software that will maximize the benefits of their new
purchase. Software that will allow them to quickly edit and burn
their stills and videos to CDs or DVDs that play on DVD players.
The
growing demand for consumer video editing solutions has inspired
software firms to take the complexity out of selling and using video
editing software. Products are now available that meet the
requirements of consumers with varying levels of video editing
experience—from novice to professional.
For
less than $50, basic programs like Pinnacle Expression provide
digital camera owners with a cost-effective way of making the
transition from digital photos to interactive slide shows and video,
and from VHS tape to long-lasting CDs and DVDs. Users can organize
their digital pictures and have them automatically compiled into
photo slideshows, complete with background music. Then, when they
purchase a camcorder, they can use the same program to delete
unwanted scenes from their videos and can add Hollywood-style
transitions and effects simply by dragging and dropping.
In
addition to generating new opportunities for product bundles and
add-on sales, video editing applications generate after-market sales.
After experiencing success, home video enthusiasts usually want to
upgrade to a software solution like Studio 8 that offers more editing
effects and direct output to CDs, DVDs and the Internet.
By offering a choice in output for slide shows and videos, software developers provide prospective buyers with compelling reasons to buy now, rather waiting until they purchase a DVD burner. Consumers who don't have a DVD burner can record DVD-quality video on a CD that can be played on virtually any DVD-ROM drive or DVD player as well as computer-based CD-ROM drives.
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